# [24H] Iranian Missile and Drone Salvos on US Bases in Jordan and Bahrain Persist

*Issued Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 11:02 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-21T11:02:26.881Z (6h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-22T11:02:26.881Z (18h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Jordan, Bahrain, Kuwait, Persian Gulf, Iran
**Affected Assets**: US forward-deployed forces, GCC airbases and ports, Regional commercial aviation corridors, Patriot and THAAD missile defense stocks
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/18027.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 24 hours, Iran is likely to conduct at least one additional missile or drone salvo targeting US positions in Jordan and/or Bahrain, even if on a smaller scale than the current waves. US forces, host-nation militaries, and nearby civilian populations will remain under intermittent air-raid conditions and base lockdowns. This will harden US force protection postures, constrain non-essential movement, and further entrench a limited-war footing in CENTCOM. Confirmation would be new launch reports or intercept claims involving Jordanian or Bahraini airspace; denial would be a verifiable pause in Iranian launches tied to active truce negotiations.

## Drivers

- Fresh reports of Iranian missile launches toward Jordan and Bahrain around 09:20–09:37 UTC
- IRGC messaging about expanded strikes on US bases and Arash drone use
- US strikes on Iranian underground 'missile cities' near Shiraz, incentivizing Iranian signaling of resolve
- CENTCOM threat posture labeled CRITICAL with ongoing strike-and-counterstrike pattern