# [24H] Khor Mor Gas Field Shutdown Triggers Acute Iraqi Power Shortfalls and Diesel Demand Spike

*Issued Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 8:27 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-16T20:27:25.906Z (5h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-17T20:27:25.906Z (19h from now)
**Category**: ECONOMIC | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: MEDIUM
**Risk Direction**: volatile
**Affected Regions**: Kurdistan Region of Iraq, Northern and central Iraq, Gulf regional fuel markets
**Affected Assets**: Iraqi domestic power sector, Middle East diesel and fuel oil markets, Dana Gas and Pearl Petroleum-related securities, Iraqi dinar sentiment via sovereign risk pricing
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/17414.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 24 hours, the suspension of Dana Gas operations at Khor Mor is likely to produce tangible power deficits in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region and parts of federal Iraq, with authorities compensating via increased diesel and heavy fuel oil generation. Up to 1,400 MW of power loss will drive local blackouts, industrial curtailments, and higher spot fuel imports or reallocations. This will marginally tighten regional diesel markets and raise Iraqi budgetary and political stress, especially if unrest follows. Confirmation would be reported rolling blackouts and emergency fuel procurement; denial would require a rapid restart of Khor Mor or alternative gas supply arrangements.

## Drivers

- Dana Gas halt of Khor Mor operations citing security threats
- Iraq Electricity Ministry warning of up to 1,400 MW power loss
- Regional security–infrastructure nexus fragility amid U.S.–Iran tensions
- Historical Iraqi reliance on gas-for-power and frequent protest risk during outages