# [24H] Additional Iranian Missile and Drone Salvoes on U.S. Gulf Bases Within 24 Hours

*Issued Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 8:31 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-16T08:31:48.386Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-17T08:31:48.386Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Kuwait, Bahrain, Jordan, Iraq (Kurdistan Region), Persian Gulf
**Affected Assets**: U.S. CENTCOM basing network, Patriot and air defense systems, Ali Al-Salem Air Base, Sheikh Isa Air Base, Shuaiba port infrastructure, Regional aviation insurance
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/17350.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within the next 24 hours, Iran is likely to launch at least one additional limited missile or drone salvo against U.S.-linked bases or infrastructure in Kuwait, Bahrain, or Jordan, calibrated below a full-on base destruction campaign. The aim will be to signal resolve after U.S. strikes across multiple Iranian provinces and the tanker interdiction near Kharg, while avoiding direct hits on host‑nation leadership or major civilian sites. This will keep U.S. forces at high alert, increase sortie dispersal and base hardening, and heighten the risk of miscalculation around fuel dumps, piers, and radar facilities co-located with commercial assets. Confirmation would be further IRGC announcements plus sensor or satellite evidence of new strikes; denial would be an announced ceasefire window or visible de-escalatory messaging from Tehran’s senior leadership.

## Drivers

- Confirmed IRGC strikes on U.S.-linked bases and port infrastructure in Kuwait, Bahrain, and Jordan
- Public IRGC threats to destroy regional infrastructure if Iran is hit again
- Ongoing U.S. missile and air strikes on Iranian territory across multiple provinces
- Pattern in limited wars of follow-on signalling strikes after initial exchange