# [24H] Iranian Missile and Drone Salvos on US Bases Likely to Continue Within 24 Hours

*Issued Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 4:47 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-16T04:47:28.250Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-17T04:47:28.250Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Jordan, Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain, Iran, Wider Gulf
**Affected Assets**: US forward-deployed forces, Patriot and THAAD systems, Brent Crude, WTI Crude, Tanker insurance in Gulf, Defense sector equities (US, Gulf)
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/17317.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

---

## Prediction

Iran is likely to launch at least one additional missile or one‑way drone salvo against US or US-linked bases in Jordan, Iraq, Kuwait, or Bahrain in the next 24 hours. Tehran will seek to demonstrate resilience after US strikes on multiple Iranian cities, while avoiding direct hits on critical Gulf energy terminals. Continued exchanges keep US forces and host governments on war footing and raise the chance of miscalculation or debris damage to energy infrastructure. Confirmation would be new reported launches from Iranian territory or proxies toward existing target sets; denial would be a publicly signaled pause by Iran coupled with no launches in the next 24 hours.

## Drivers

- Recent Iranian ballistic missile and drone attacks on US bases in Jordan, Erbil, Bahrain, and Kuwait
- US second-wave strikes on Bushehr, Bandar Abbas, Ahvaz, Chabahar, Sirik, Kerman, Semnan, Khorramabad
- Emerging trend of US–Iran confrontation shifting toward sustained multi-theater limited war
- Iran’s regional strike network testing resilience of US basing model