# [24H] US Air and Naval Strikes Expand From Greater Tunb to Iran’s Southern Air Defense Network

*Issued Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 3:25 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-15T15:25:41.245Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-16T15:25:41.245Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Hormozgan Province, Bushehr Province, Strait of Hormuz, Persian Gulf
**Affected Assets**: IRGC coastal missile forces, Iranian integrated air defense system nodes, US carrier strike group and naval aviation, Regional tanker and LNG traffic security
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/17226.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

The US is likely to extend strikes from Greater Tunb to additional Iranian coastal and inland air defense and missile sites within 24 hours to secure a more permissive environment around Hormuz. This will place IRGC radar, SAM batteries, and coastal missile brigades in Hormozgan and possibly Bushehr under direct threat, degrading Iran’s capacity for anti-ship and base attacks. Expanded targeting heightens risk of Iranian miscalculated response, including attempts at limited shipping interdiction or attacks on Gulf state critical infrastructure. Confirmation would include reports of strikes beyond Greater Tunb and Iranshahr; denial would be explicit US messaging limiting action to current targets and shifting emphasis to diplomacy or deterrence patrols only.

## Drivers

- CENTCOM-confirmed repeated 90-minute strike waves on Greater Tunb
- Trump review of wider military campaign options against Iran
- US naval blockade enforcement actions diverting tankers
- Explicit US framing of conflict as a new war against Iran