# [24H] Iranian Follow-On Missile and Drone Barrages Against US Gulf Bases Within 24 Hours

*Issued Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 3:25 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-15T15:25:41.245Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-16T15:25:41.245Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: neutral
**Affected Regions**: Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Persian Gulf
**Affected Assets**: US military aviation and ISR assets in CENTCOM, Patriot and THAAD air defense batteries, Gulf commercial aviation routes, Regional oil export terminals’ security posture
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/17225.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Iran is likely to launch at least one additional mixed missile–drone salvo against US-linked bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, or Jordan within 24 hours to signal resolve after US strikes on Greater Tunb and Iranshahr. This will further stress regional air defenses and force CENTCOM to disperse aircraft and high-value assets, potentially degrading sortie rates. A renewed barrage risks misfires or spillover into civilian areas, increasing regional demands for de-escalation even as Washington weighs wider strikes. Confirmation would be new impact reports or intercept footage over these bases; denial would be a verified IRGC pause or public messaging framing the last salvo as “sufficient retaliation.”

## Drivers

- Confirmed Iranian ballistic impacts on King Faisal and other Jordan bases
- Repeated Shahed drone use against US-linked facilities in Kuwait
- US 90-minute strike packages on Greater Tunb and other Iranian sites
- Emerging trend of missile and drone warfare normalizing against rear-area bases