# [24H] Iran Likely to Launch Additional Missile and Drone Waves at Kuwait and Jordan Bases

*Issued Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 1:49 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-15T01:49:49.764Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-16T01:49:49.764Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Kuwait, Jordan, Bahrain, Persian Gulf, Northern Arabian Peninsula
**Affected Assets**: U.S. military bases in Kuwait and Jordan, Kuwaiti Naval Forces, Patriot and THAAD air-defense batteries, Commercial aviation routes over northern Gulf and Jordan
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/17135.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within the next 24 hours, Iran is likely to conduct at least one more coordinated missile and Shahed drone salvo against U.S.-linked facilities in Kuwait and Jordan. The intent will be to demonstrate that earlier strikes were not one-offs and that Tehran can sustain pressure despite U.S. bombing in southern and western Iran. This will raise immediate threat levels for U.S. bases, Kuwaiti naval units, and Jordanian air installations, forcing higher alert postures and potential partial dispersal of assets. Confirmation would be fresh launch reports from northwestern Iran, additional intercept activity over Kuwait/Jordan, or damage reports from targeted bases; a visible Iranian public climbdown or Russian/Chinese-mediated pause would undercut this forecast.

## Drivers

- Confirmed Iranian missile and drone strikes on Kuwait, Bahrain, and a U.S. base in Jordan in the last 12 hours
- Ongoing launches from Tabriz and Urmia and reports of wider barrages toward Jordan
- Structured U.S.–Iran missile and maritime confrontation trend
- No evidence yet of ceasefire talks or de-escalatory signaling