# [24H] IRGC Retaliatory Missile and Drone Barrage on Gulf Bases Likely to Continue

*Issued Monday, July 13, 2026 at 9:18 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-13T09:18:01.825Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-14T09:18:01.825Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, Oman, Strait of Hormuz, Persian Gulf
**Affected Assets**: US forward bases and radar networks, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) air defense systems, US Navy 5th Fleet operations, Commercial shipping lanes near Hormuz
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/16906.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 24 hours, Iran’s IRGC is likely to launch at least one additional missile or drone salvo against US or US-linked facilities in Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, or Oman in response to the latest US strikes. These attacks will focus on radars, logistics hubs, or air facilities that underpin US power projection and maritime domain awareness near the Strait of Hormuz. Persistent barrages will force US and Gulf militaries into high alert, potentially degrading radar coverage and complicating air and naval operations. Confirmation would be new claimed or observed impacts on US-aligned bases or radar systems; denial would be an observable halt in Iranian launches accompanied by de-escalatory messaging from Tehran.

## Drivers

- IRGC claims of current multi-state attacks on US assets in Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, and Oman
- US strikes on dozens of Iranian targets including coastal radar and small-boat facilities
- Emerging trend: Iran extends battlespace by directly pressuring US-aligned Gulf micro-states
- CENTCOM threat level assessed as CRITICAL