# [7D] Iran Leverages Russia and China to Block UN Action and Frame Hormuz as U.S.-Made Crisis

*Issued Monday, July 13, 2026 at 3:17 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-13T03:17:12.763Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-20T03:17:12.763Z (7d from now)
**Category**: GEOPOLITICAL | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: United Nations (global diplomatic arena), Middle East/Gulf, Russia, China, Iran, United States
**Affected Assets**: International legal legitimacy of maritime security operations, Sanctions enforcement frameworks, Global perception of U.S. vs Iran narratives
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/16893.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within seven days, Iran will deepen coordination with Russia and China at the UN and in public diplomacy to cast Hormuz’s weaponization as a defensive reaction to unlawful U.S. attacks. Moscow and Beijing are likely to block or water down any UN Security Council moves that could legitimize coalition enforcement operations in or near Hormuz, instead pushing for a cease-fire and U.S. withdrawal from Iranian territory. This alignment will limit multilateral pressure on Tehran while complicating legal cover for extended Western military presence. Confirmation would be vetoes or strong reservations from Russia/China on draft resolutions and synchronized messaging that emphasizes U.S. responsibility; denial would be either Russian or Chinese support for robust censure of Iran’s closure action.

## Drivers

- Russia and China’s strategic interest in opposing U.S. regional dominance
- Iran’s need for diplomatic backing amid direct war with U.S.
- Past patterns in Syria and Gulf-related UNSC debates