# [24H] Sustained U.S.–Iran Strike Exchange Over Gulf Bases and Khuzestan Continues Through Next 24 Hours

*Issued Monday, July 13, 2026 at 3:17 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-13T03:17:12.763Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-14T03:17:12.763Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Iran – Khuzestan, Hormozgan, Bushehr, coastal provinces, Gulf states – Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, UAE, Saudi Arabia (Eastern Province), Jordan
**Affected Assets**: U.S. Fifth Fleet assets, Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, IRGC naval and missile infrastructure, Regional air defense and C2 systems
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/16880.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, U.S. air operations against Iranian military, air, and coastal infrastructure and Iranian ballistic missile launches against regional bases are likely to continue at a reduced but still significant tempo. Expect follow‑on U.S. sorties to re-attack surviving IRGC naval sites, air defense nodes, and logistics hubs in Khuzestan and along the southern coast, while Iran attempts at least limited additional missile or drone strikes on U.S. and partner bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, or Jordan. This rhythm keeps all Gulf-based U.S. assets on high alert and sustains risk of localized mass-casualty events or damage to critical command nodes. Confirmation would come from additional reports of strikes in Iran’s southwest and fresh missile launches from western Iran; denial would be a rapid, publicly announced U.S. pause in air operations combined with Iranian messaging that its response phase is complete.

## Drivers

- Documented broad U.S. strike wave across Khuzestan and southern coastal bases
- Confirmed Iranian ballistic missile strikes towards Bahrain and Jordanian airbase
- Iranian claims of destroying key U.S. assets at Fifth Fleet hub in Bahrain
- CENTCOM theater threat level at CRITICAL indicating ongoing operations