# [7D] Russia–China Covert Tech Forum Likely to Translate into Battlefield EW and Anti-Starlink Trials

*Issued Friday, July 10, 2026 at 3:16 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-10T15:16:40.586Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-17T15:16:40.586Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 55% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Eastern Ukraine frontlines, Western Russia, Potentially low-Earth orbit satellite environment
**Affected Assets**: Starlink constellation and user terminals, NATO-supplied precision weapons (e.g., Excalibur, GMLRS), Commercial satellite operators and insurers, Cybersecurity and EW tech sectors
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/16619.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 7 days, elements of the reported secret Russia–China military-tech pact are likely to manifest as more sophisticated jamming or spoofing operations against Starlink and Western-supplied systems on the Ukrainian battlefield. Ukrainian units may experience localized communications blackouts, GPS disruptions, or unexpected degradation of Western precision-guided munitions in specific sectors. Such trials will represent a live-fire laboratory for Beijing and Moscow to study Western system vulnerabilities and responses. Confirmation would be credible reports of abnormal, geographically clustered Starlink outages or novel EW signatures traced to Russian units with suspected Chinese support; denial would be continued reliance on existing, unsophisticated jamming patterns only.

## Drivers

- Leaked files detailing Russia–China tech forum targeting Western weapons and Starlink
- Ongoing evolution of drone and EW warfare in Ukraine
- China’s interest in testing concepts relevant to a potential Indo-Pacific conflict
- Explicit references to anti-satellite and anti-network tools in leaks