# [24H] U.S. Air Campaign Deepens With New Strikes on Iranian Coastal and Air-Defense Nodes

*Issued Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 4:28 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-09T16:28:24.389Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-10T16:28:24.389Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 72% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Iranian coastal provinces, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf airspace
**Affected Assets**: Iranian coastal radars and SAM sites, IRGC Navy fast-attack craft, U.S. strike aircraft and ISR assets
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/16482.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

---

## Prediction

U.S. forces are likely to conduct at least one additional wave of strikes on Iranian coastal surveillance, naval assets, and air-defense radars within 24 hours to preserve freedom of action over central Iran and the Gulf. The U.S. will aim to degrade Iran’s ability to threaten Hormuz traffic and U.S. aircraft while avoiding direct hits on nuclear facilities. This will further weaken Iran’s conventional deterrent, harden Tehran’s sense of siege, and incentivize asymmetric responses via proxies and cyber rather than conventional escalation. Confirmation would be new CENTCOM releases citing tens of additional targets hit and fresh open-source imagery of damaged coastal or radar sites; disconfirmation would be an explicit White House pause in kinetic operations tied to de-escalation talks.

## Drivers

- Reported two nights of ~170 total U.S. strikes including coastal targets
- F-35s observed operating unopposed over Isfahan and central Iran
- White House reportedly preparing for a prolonged confrontation
- Structured U.S.–Iran campaign over Strait of Hormuz control noted as emerging trend