# [7D] Ukraine Expands Deep-Strike Campaign to Additional Russian Fuel Hubs Beyond Tver and Stavropol

*Issued Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 4:28 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-09T04:28:02.820Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-16T04:28:02.820Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Western Russia, Southern Russia, Sea of Azov, Crimea, Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: Russian fuel depots and terminals, Rail and pipeline nodes, Russian military logistics in southern and central fronts, Civilian fuel supply in affected Russian regions
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/16429.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within seven days, Ukraine is likely to broaden its long-range drone and missile campaign to additional Russian fuel and logistics hubs beyond Tver and Stavropol, aiming at depots feeding western and southern military districts. New strikes will target storage, rail junctions, and possibly refineries within drone range, compounding logistical friction for Russian domestic distribution and military supply. Strategically, this will push Moscow toward deeper fuel rationing, tighter internal controls, and more overt militarization of critical infrastructure. Confirmation would be verified fires or explosions at new Russian fuel facilities well inside Russia; denial would be a sustained lull in such attacks, possibly due to Western pressure or capability attrition.

## Drivers

- Emerging trend of Ukrainian deep strikes systematically degrading Russia’s energy and logistics system
- Recent confirmed hits on major oil depots in Tver and Stavropol Krai
- Successful Ukrainian attacks on Russian tankers in the Sea of Azov