# [24H] U.S. Conducts Third Wave of Deep Strikes on Iranian Coastal Air-Defense Network

*Issued Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 4:28 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-09T04:28:02.820Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-10T04:28:02.820Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 75% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Iranian coastline, Bandar Abbas region, Hormozgan Province, Sea of Oman, Strait of Hormuz
**Affected Assets**: Iranian coastal air-defense batteries, Iranian naval and IRGC-N bases, U.S. carrier strike groups, Maritime patrol and ISR platforms
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/16420.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

U.S. forces are likely to execute a third wave of precision strikes targeting Iranian coastal air-defense, radar, and missile sites within 24 hours to degrade Iran’s capacity to threaten Hormuz shipping and U.S. assets. This would intensify damage to Iran’s integrated air defense system and logistics nodes, increasing its vulnerability to follow-on operations. The move would signal U.S. intent to impose costs and secure maritime lanes, but also risks expanding target sets to dual-use infrastructure and drawing in more Iranian proxies. Confirmation would be Pentagon or CENTCOM announcements of new coastal strikes and satellite/OSINT imagery of fresh damage; denial would be an explicit U.S. pause framed as an opening for diplomacy.

## Drivers

- Two consecutive days of large-scale U.S. strikes on 80 then ~90 Iranian targets
- Damage reported to Chabahar Port control tower and railway bridges near Mashhad, indicating broadening target set
- Ongoing Iranian attacks on commercial ships and U.S. bases creating operational imperative to suppress launch and sensor sites