# [24H] Ukraine Conducts Additional Deep Strikes on Russian Fuel and Command Nodes

*Issued Friday, July 3, 2026 at 8:48 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-03T20:48:52.002Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-04T20:48:52.002Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 69% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Krasnodar Krai, Belgorod region, Moscow region, Occupied Crimea
**Affected Assets**: Russian fuel depots and refineries, Rail logistics in southern Russia, Russian air defense coverage and strategic C2 networks
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/15806.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

In the next 24 hours, Ukraine is likely to launch follow-on long-range strikes against Russian fuel logistics and C2 infrastructure, building on the damage at Slavyansk‑EKO refinery and the Beloomut communications hub. Targets are likely to include depots and rail nodes in Krasnodar, Belgorod, and possibly other command-related facilities around Moscow region. This will increase disruption to Russian internal fuel flows and force Moscow to divert air defenses to the rear, but also risks Russian retaliation with larger missile 'avalanche' salvos on Ukrainian cities and energy systems. Confirmation would be additional geolocated fires or explosions at Russian rear fuel or communications facilities; denial would be an observable pause in Ukrainian deep-strike activity despite recent successes.

## Drivers

- Recent heavy strike on Slavyansk‑EKO refinery
- Satellite imagery showing damage at 14th Main Communications Center near Beloomut
- Trend of Ukrainian long-range economic warfare against Russian infrastructure
- Russia’s growing fuel logistics stress evidenced in Belgorod and Novorossiysk
