# [7D] Russia Expands Energy War With Coordinated Strikes on Ukraine’s Power Grid and Fuel Depots

*Issued Thursday, July 2, 2026 at 2:50 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-02T14:50:42.797Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-09T14:50:42.797Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Kyiv, Sumy, Dnipro and other industrial centers in Ukraine, Neighboring EU states reliant on Ukrainian grid links
**Affected Assets**: Ukrainian national power grid, Electric rail logistics for military resupply, European power trading (especially Poland, Slovakia, Romania interconnectors)
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/15656.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within seven days, Russia is likely to execute several coordinated waves of strikes targeting Ukrainian thermal power plants, substations, and fuel depots beyond Sumy and Kyiv. The campaign will aim to erode industrial output, air-defense support systems, and civilian resilience ahead of winter, forcing Ukraine into rolling blackouts and prioritization of military over civilian power needs. This will increase pressure on NATO to supply grid equipment, transformers, and additional air-defense interceptors. Confirmation would be multi-city attacks on power infrastructure and official Ukrainian warnings of systemic grid risk; denial would be Russia reverting primarily to front-line or purely military targets.

## Drivers

- Geolocated Russian FAB/guided bomb strike on Sumy thermal power plant
- Multiple alerts describing Russia’s biggest Kyiv strike since 2022 with energy/logistics targets
- Emerging trend: escalation of mutual targeting of fuel and energy infrastructure