# [24H] Iranian Follow-On Missile or Drone Barrage Against US Gulf Bases Within 24 Hours

*Issued Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 6:49 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-06-28T06:49:11.966Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-06-29T06:49:11.966Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Kuwait, Bahrain, Strait of Hormuz, Eastern Saudi Arabia, Southern Iran
**Affected Assets**: US military bases in Kuwait and Bahrain, US Fifth Fleet assets, Patriot and THAAD air defense batteries, US military personnel, Gulf aviation routes
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/15095.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Iran is likely to conduct at least one additional missile or drone salvo targeting or threatening US facilities in Kuwait, Bahrain, or adjacent Gulf waters within 24 hours. Tehran will aim to demonstrate resolve after US strikes on Iranian targets and the reported damage to Bahraini residential buildings, while still calibrating to avoid mass US casualties. This keeps US forces and Gulf host nations on high alert, complicates air and missile defense postures, and raises miscalculation risks around the Fifth Fleet and key air bases. Confirmation would be new launches claimed by the IRGC or air raid sirens/interceptions over Kuwait or Bahrain; denial would be a visible pause accompanied by back-channel de-escalation signals from Tehran or Washington.

## Drivers

- IRGC claims of ballistic missile and drone strikes on eight US targets in Kuwait and Bahrain
- Bahrain air raid sirens and direct damage to residential building from Iranian strike
- Iranian commanders threatening to turn US bases into 'hell'
- Pattern of rapid tit-for-tat since initial US strikes near Hormuz