# [24H] Attempted Iranian Mine or Drone Boat Deployment in Strait of Hormuz Shipping Lanes

*Issued Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 12:49 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-06-28T00:49:49.555Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-06-29T00:49:49.555Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Gulf, Hormozgan Province
**Affected Assets**: VLCC and Suezmax tanker fleets, Maritime mine-countermeasures vessels, War risk insurance for Gulf shipping, Global oil supply chains
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/15062.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

---

## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, Iran’s IRGC Navy is likely to attempt covert minelaying or deployment of explosive drone boats in or near Hormuz shipping lanes to restore deterrence after heavy U.S. strikes. Activity will likely focus around Sirik, Qeshm, and Bandar-e Lengeh approaches, targeting high-visibility but deniable harassment of tankers rather than a full closure. This would force U.S. and allied navies into intensive mine-countermeasure operations, reduce tanker speeds, and could temporarily halt traffic if even one vessel is damaged. Confirmation would be mine or USV detections, diverted shipping routes, or naval warnings to alter courses; a clear public back-channel deconfliction message from Tehran and Washington would lower this risk.

## Drivers

- CENTCOM reports specific strikes on Iranian minelaying infrastructure and IRGC naval base in Sirik
- Recent Iranian drone attack on M/T Kiku and earlier hit on M/V Ever Lovely
- Pattern of Iran using mines and drone boats historically to pressure shipping