# [24H] Ukrainian Deep-Strike Drones to Reattack Russian Fuel and Power Nodes Within 24 Hours

*Issued Thursday, June 25, 2026 at 5:24 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-06-25T05:24:12.309Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-06-26T05:24:12.309Z (20h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 72% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Krasnodar Krai, Crimea, Southern Russia, Eastern and Southern Ukraine, Black Sea region
**Affected Assets**: Russian military fuel depots, Regional power grids in Crimea and Krasnodar, Black Sea logistics hubs, Urals crude export reliability, War risk insurance for Black Sea shipping
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/14659.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Ukraine is likely to launch additional long-range drone strikes on Russian fuel depots and power infrastructure in the south or Crimea within the next 24 hours, building on the Poltavskaya depot fire and Simferopol blackout. Russian air defenses are being stretched between front-line coverage and rear-area protection, increasing the probability that at least one high-visibility energy asset is hit or put offline. This will further disrupt Russian logistics to the Southern Military District and Black Sea Fleet, modestly degrading sustainment for operations around Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia. Confirmation would be new fires, blackouts, or verified damage at depots or power plants in Krasnodar Krai, Crimea, or Rostov; denial would be an absence of such reports combined with evidence of a temporary Ukrainian operational pause.

## Drivers

- Repeated Ukrainian drone strike on Poltavskaya oil base
- Confirmed Ukrainian drone attack on Simferopol power infrastructure causing blackout
- Emerging trend of Ukraine expanding long-range strikes to structurally degrade Russia’s fuel system
- Russian rebalancing of air defenses noted in prior briefs