# [24H] Russia-Ukraine Energy Infrastructure Duel Drives New Strikes on Gas Plants and Grids

*Issued Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 5:23 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-06-24T05:23:48.839Z (6h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-06-25T05:23:48.839Z (18h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Central and Eastern Ukraine, Orenburg Region, Crimea, Poltava and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts
**Affected Assets**: Regional Natural Gas Supply in Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine Power Grid Stability, Rail-Based Military Logistics in Both States, European Gas Futures (TTF)
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/14546.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

After dueling attacks on gas treatment plants in Orenburg and Poltava and thermal power targets in Simferopol and Zaporizhzhia, both Russia and Ukraine are likely to conduct additional strikes on each other’s gas processing and power grid nodes within 24 hours. The immediate focus will be plants and substations feeding major industrial centers and rail corridors, raising blackout and supply disruption risks. This tit-for-tat will deepen militarization of energy infrastructure, incentivizing each side to disperse critical operations and seek foreign technical support for rapid repair. Confirmation would be fresh verified hits on gas plants or 220–750 kV substations in either country; denial would require a notable shift in target set back toward purely frontline military positions.

## Drivers

- Confirmed attacks on Orenburg gas plant and Poltava gas treatment facility
- Simferopol and Sevastopol power outages from Ukrainian strikes
- Russian use of hypersonic and glide bombs on Ukrainian cities including Zaporizhzhia and Vinnytsia