# [24H] Ukraine Expands Drone Raids on Russian Rail Hubs Following Bryansk and Berdyansk Strikes

*Issued Monday, June 22, 2026 at 5:23 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-06-22T05:23:05.750Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-06-23T05:23:05.750Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Bryansk Oblast, Kursk Oblast, Zaporizhzhia region, Crimea, Central and Eastern Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: Russian Railways Operations, Diesel Fuel Supply in Western Russia, Urals Crude Export Logistics, European Natural Gas via Ukrainian Transit (indirect risk), Defense and Drone Manufacturing Sectors in Ukraine and Russia
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/14287.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, Ukraine is likely to attempt additional UAV and potentially missile strikes on Russian and occupied Ukrainian rail junctions feeding the southern front, particularly in Bryansk, Kursk, and Zaporizhzhia. Kyiv is probing Russia’s logistics depth to force costly rerouting of fuel and ammunition and to push psychological pressure deeper inside Russia. This raises the risk of Russian retaliatory strikes on Ukrainian energy and rail infrastructure, extending the ongoing "fuel war". Confirmation would be new explosions or fires reported near rail nodes and depots; failure to see further strikes combined with public Ukrainian messaging about conserving resources would weaken this forecast.

## Drivers

- Reported Ukrainian drone strikes on Bryansk rail infrastructure
- Reported attacks on Berdyansk rail and Crimea-bound bridges
- Emerging trend of mutual deep-strike campaigns targeting fuel and logistics