# [24H] Oil Benchmarks Extend Selloff as Hormuz Flows Resume Despite Isolated Attack

*Issued Monday, June 15, 2026 at 4:41 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-06-15T16:41:15.229Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-06-16T16:41:15.229Z (21h from now)
**Category**: ECONOMIC | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: de-escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Global, Gulf region, Europe, Asia importers (India, China, Japan, South Korea)
**Affected Assets**: Brent Crude, WTI Crude, Dubai Crude, EM FX baskets, Global energy equities, Oil volatility (OVX)
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/13452.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, Brent and WTI are likely to drift lower or remain under downward pressure as shipping data confirms multiple tankers transiting Hormuz, overshadowing the single skiff attack. Traders will increasingly price in both restored Iranian export capacity and the end of an explicit US blockade, compressing risk premia tied to Gulf supply disruption. This will support a broader risk-on tilt in equities and EM FX while modestly weighing on energy equities and petro-states’ fiscal expectations. Confirmation would be visible increases in tanker traffic, narrowing oil volatility indices, and declines in front-month Brent; denial would require a major new security incident causing another halt in traffic.

## Drivers

- Reports of multiple oil-laden ships moving through Hormuz
- US–Iran MoU lifting primary, secondary, and UN sanctions on oil
- Initial oil price selloff toward early-war levels