# [7D] Russia Intensifies Missile Strikes on Ukrainian Power Grid in Response to Refinery Hits

*Issued Friday, June 12, 2026 at 9:43 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-06-12T21:43:20.403Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-06-19T21:43:20.403Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Central and Eastern Ukraine, Kyiv region, Dnipropetrovsk region, Russian border oblasts
**Affected Assets**: Ukrainian power grid and generation capacity, Ukrainian rail and metro operations, Ukrainian industrial production (steel, chemicals, defense), European electricity balancing and emergency support measures for Ukraine
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/13127.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 7 days, Russia is likely to step up large-scale missile and drone barrages against Ukraine’s power grid and industrial nodes, explicitly framing them as retaliation for Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries and chemical plants. DTEK plants and other major thermal and hydro assets will be primary targets, further degrading Ukrainian electricity supply and complicating industrial output and rail logistics. Ukraine will respond with air-defense reallocations and continued deep strikes, deepening the total-war economic dynamic. Confirmation would be at least one major multi-wave strike campaign targeting multiple power facilities; disconfirmation would be a shift in Russian target sets away from energy infrastructure despite ongoing Ukrainian deep strikes.

## Drivers

- Recent Russian attacks on DTEK thermal power plants
- Ukrainian escalation of deep drone strikes on Russian energy facilities
- Trend of systematic mutual infrastructure targeting in the Russia–Ukraine war
- Russian leadership’s need to demonstrate deterrent punishment