# [7D] US Amphibious and Special Operations Preparations for Kharg Island Seizure Intensify but Stop Short of Landing

*Issued Thursday, June 11, 2026 at 2:28 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-06-11T14:28:51.518Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-06-18T14:28:51.518Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Northern Persian Gulf, Kharg Island, Southern Iran coastal provinces, US Fifth Fleet AOR
**Affected Assets**: US amphibious ready groups, US carrier strike groups, Iranian naval and coastal missile batteries, Offshore energy infrastructure near Kharg
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/12944.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next seven days, the US is likely to visibly assemble amphibious assets, Marines, and special operations forces in the northern Gulf to credibly threaten, but not immediately execute, a seizure of Kharg Island. This posture is intended to pressure Tehran while allowing room for negotiation on Hormuz and oil exports, and will be accompanied by precision strikes to degrade Iranian defenses on and around Kharg. The increased concentration of high-value US assets will raise the risk of Iranian anti-ship missile or swarm boat attacks, heightening miscalculation dangers. Confirmation would be carrier and amphibious group repositioning near northern Gulf, satellite imagery of rehearsal exercises, and public statements highlighting the option; denial would be explicit US statements renouncing any ground operation against Kharg.

## Drivers

- Trump’s repeated threats to 'take Kharg Island' and control Iran’s oil
- Iran’s accelerated fortification and mining of Kharg
- US pattern of coercive force buildup before major operations
- High strategic value of Kharg as Iran’s main export hub