# [24H] US–Iran Strike Tempo Persists With Limited Additional Hits on Gulf Shipping

*Issued Thursday, June 11, 2026 at 8:28 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-06-11T08:28:18.627Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-06-12T08:28:18.627Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, Iran
**Affected Assets**: Brent Crude, Dubai Crude, Tanker Shipping Equities, Marine War Insurance, USD safe-haven flows
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/12907.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, the US–Iran exchange is likely to continue at a controlled but active tempo, including at least one additional limited strike or close call involving commercial shipping near the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman. Both sides appear to be calibrating attacks—targeting bases and select vessels—while trying to avoid mass-casualty events that would force all‑out escalation. This will keep naval and air assets on high alert and push commercial operators to divert or delay transits, especially for tankers without top-tier protection. Confirmation would be another documented strike, boarding, or near‑miss on a merchant vessel linked to US or allied supply chains; denial would be a full 24-hour lull in kinetic maritime incidents combined with public signaling of restraint from Washington and Tehran.

## Drivers

- Recent US strikes on a tanker and cargo dhow in Gulf of Oman
- Iranian missile and drone attacks on US-linked bases in three Gulf states
- Exchange of naval fire reported in and near the Strait of Hormuz
- Ongoing calibrated strike–retaliation dynamic under nuclear shadow