# [24H] Russia and China Exploit Crisis to Condemn U.S. Strikes While Avoiding Direct Support to Iran

*Issued Thursday, June 11, 2026 at 2:29 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-06-11T02:29:23.760Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-06-12T02:29:23.760Z (20h from now)
**Category**: GEOPOLITICAL | **Confidence**: 72% | **Impact**: MEDIUM
**Risk Direction**: volatile
**Affected Regions**: Iran, Russia, China, UN Security Council
**Affected Assets**: Ruble, Yuan, Russian Urals crude exports, China’s Belt and Road energy corridors
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/12877.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, Moscow and Beijing are likely to issue sharp statements criticizing U.S. strikes inside Iran and warning about regional destabilization, but will stop short of endorsing Iran’s claimed closure of Hormuz or offering explicit military aid. Their messaging will target Global South audiences and U.S. domestic critics while maintaining freedom of navigation as a nominal principle. This posture will embolden Tehran rhetorically yet leave it largely alone in any direct confrontation at sea. Confirmation would be UNSC statements or press briefings condemning U.S. ‘aggression’ without backing closure; refutation would be any clear pledge to assist Iran militarily in securing a blockade.

## Drivers

- Russian and Chinese patterns in prior U.S.–Iran crises and Syria strikes
- High sensitivity to precedent of unilateral U.S. strikes on sovereign states
- Own interest in unimpeded energy flows through Hormuz