# [24H] US–Iran Missile Exchanges Likely to Resume Around Hormuz and Gulf Bases

*Issued Wednesday, June 10, 2026 at 2:32 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-06-10T14:32:44.315Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-06-11T14:32:44.315Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Iran, Strait of Hormuz, Jordan, Bahrain, Qatar, UAE
**Affected Assets**: US forward bases in CENTCOM, Iranian coastal air defenses, Patriot and THAAD batteries, Commercial aviation routes over the Gulf
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/12819.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 24 hours, at least one additional round of limited missile or air strikes between US forces and Iran or Iranian proxies is likely, focused on coastal air defense, UAV, or logistics nodes and US-linked bases in Jordan or the Gulf. Forces, not civilians, will remain the declared targets, but spillover damage to dual-use infrastructure and nearby towns is probable. This will further normalize tit-for-tat strikes and increase the chance of miscalculation that drags in Gulf monarchies and Israel more directly. Confirmation would be radar- or satellite-tracked launches, intercepted missiles over Gulf states, or verified impact imagery; disconfirmation would be a verifiable stand-down statement from both Washington and Tehran plus 24 hours without launches.

## Drivers

- IRGC launch of at least 11 Kheibar Shekan missiles at US targets in Jordan
- US strikes on Iranian air defenses, radar, UAV sites and water infrastructure
- Trump signaling readiness for further attacks on Iranian power plants and bridges
- Reports of large-scale Iranian operations against US-linked targets across the region