# [24H] Iran continues to halt, divert, or aggressively inspect commercial vessels in and near Hormuz

*Issued Thursday, May 28, 2026 at 1:55 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-28T13:55:58.018Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-29T13:55:58.018Z (20h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Ports of UAE, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait
**Affected Assets**: Crude oil tankers, LNG carriers, Shipping company fleets with Gulf exposure
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/11415.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, Iran is highly likely to continue stopping, turning back, or boarding selected merchant vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz under its claimed 'permission' regime. Activity will probably focus on ships perceived as linked to the U.S., U.K., or Gulf states supportive of U.S. strikes, while avoiding direct seizures of Chinese or major European cargo to limit diplomatic backlash. Tactics will likely include fast-boat intercepts, helicopter-borne boarding teams, and threats via maritime radio. A complete closure of Hormuz remains unlikely in this window, but enough disruption will occur to delay multiple voyages and force some ships to hold position or divert.

## Drivers

- Multiple FLASH/WARNING reports that Iran has already stopped or turned back several vessels and asserted control over Hormuz
- Public Iranian narrative linking ship control to retaliation for U.S. strikes
- Historical precedent of Iran using selective harassment rather than total closure