# [24H] Ukrainian Deep-Strike and Drone Campaign Against Russian Energy and Logistics Continues

*Issued Wednesday, May 27, 2026 at 8:06 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-27T20:06:10.883Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-28T20:06:10.883Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 75% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Western Russia, Occupied Crimea, Eastern and Southern Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: Russian refineries and fuel depots, Russian navy and logistics vessels in Black Sea, Russian rail infrastructure
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/11306.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

---

## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, Ukraine is likely to launch additional drone and possibly missile strikes against Russian refineries, fuel depots, and logistics nodes in western Russia and occupied Crimea, though on a limited scale (1–3 targets). The focus will remain on energy infrastructure to reinforce the already documented 10% drop in Russian coke and oil-product output. Russia will attempt to intercept with air defenses and may retaliate with more missile strikes on Ukrainian cities like Kherson and logistics hubs. A pause in strikes is possible if weather or asset availability interferes, but consistent messaging from Kyiv suggests continued operations.

## Drivers

- Official Russian data confirming a 10% fall in oil-product output after Ukrainian strikes
- Emerging trend: Ukrainian 'logistics lockdown' strategy targeting depth
- Recent reporting of explosions across Russia and Crimea
- Zelensky’s statement that Russia’s oil sector will keep shrinking during the war