# [24H] Israel Expands Air and Artillery Strikes Across Southern Lebanon Combat Zone

*Issued Wednesday, May 27, 2026 at 8:06 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-27T20:06:10.883Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-28T20:06:10.883Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Southern Lebanon, Northern Israel, Eastern Mediterranean
**Affected Assets**: IDF ground units and air assets, Hezbollah rocket and drone stockpiles, Lebanese civilian infrastructure (roads, power, housing)
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/11305.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

In the next 24 hours, the IDF will significantly increase the tempo and geographic spread of air and artillery strikes south of the Zahrani River, targeting Hezbollah rocket cells, logistics hubs, and suspected tunnels around Tyre, Nabatieh, and the Bekaa approaches. Ground incursions will remain limited to reconnaissance and shaping operations near the border rather than a full-scale armored push. Hezbollah will answer with intensified but localized rocket and drone attacks against northern Israel, including bases such as Biranit. This activity will drive further displacement, but a full IDF ground offensive into major urban centers will likely be deferred beyond 24 hours to allow completion of evacuations and ISR preparation.

## Drivers

- Formal IDF designation of territory south of the Zahrani River as a combat zone
- Reports of 550 Hezbollah targets hit in the past week
- Mass evacuation orders for Tyre, Nabatieh, and surrounding areas
- Recent Hezbollah drone squadron attack on Biranit base