# [24H] IDF launches expanded air and artillery campaign around Tyre and south of Zahrani River

*Issued Wednesday, May 27, 2026 at 2:05 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-27T14:05:11.588Z (6h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-28T14:05:11.588Z (18h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Southern Lebanon, Tyre, Areas south of Zahrani River, Northern Israel
**Affected Assets**: Civilian infrastructure in Tyre and surrounding villages, Hezbollah rocket and drone launch sites, IDF border positions
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/11278.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within the next 24 hours, Israel is likely to conduct a concentrated wave of airstrikes and artillery barrages against Hezbollah and allied militant infrastructure in and around Tyre and south of the Zahrani River, including suspected rocket, drone, and command sites. The early public evacuation warning indicates preparation for larger, sustained fires rather than isolated strikes. Ground incursions beyond very limited probing near the border remain unlikely in this window, as the IDF will first seek to soften targets and test Hezbollah’s response. Hezbollah will respond with rocket and possibly anti-tank or drone fire against northern Israel, but likely below its maximum capacity to avoid immediate full-scale war.

## Drivers

- IDF warning to Tyre and South Lebanon residents to evacuate north of the Zahrani River
- Reports of intensified Israeli air and artillery attacks across multiple Lebanese localities
- Emerging trend: Israel–Hezbollah confrontation evolving into drone-dense quasi-conventional war