# [7D] Russia–Ukraine Deep-Strike Cycle Intensifies With More Attacks on Oil and Logistics Nodes

*Issued Tuesday, May 26, 2026 at 8:09 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-26T20:09:01.398Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-06-02T20:09:01.398Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 75% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Ukraine (national), Western and Southern Russia, Belarus (potential future target set)
**Affected Assets**: Russian Refineries and Oil Export Infrastructure, Ukrainian Power Grid and Rail Network, Civilian Industrial Facilities, Regional Oil Product Balances
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/11194.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within seven days, Russia and Ukraine are likely to intensify their reciprocal deep-strike campaign against energy and logistics infrastructure, resulting in additional damage to Russian oil facilities and Ukrainian power and rail assets. Ukraine will continue drone attacks on Russian refineries, fuel depots, and potentially Black Sea logistics, seeking to constrain Russia’s war economy. Russia will respond with barrages targeting Ukrainian power plants, defense factories, and urban centers like Kyiv and Kharkiv. This cycle will increase pressure on both nations’ civilian populations and complicate any near-term peace initiatives.

## Drivers

- Emerging trends of systematic strategic strikes and sustained energy/logistics targeting
- Ukrainian commander’s warning of continued strikes on Russian oil and defense infrastructure
- Recent Ukrainian attacks in Belgorod and Russian advances prompting retaliation
- Russia’s reliance on missile and drone salvos as a central tool of coercion