# [24H] Civilian Casualties and Infrastructure Damage Increase in Kyiv and Eastern Ukraine

*Issued Tuesday, May 26, 2026 at 11:09 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-26T11:09:32.332Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-27T11:09:32.332Z (22h from now)
**Category**: HUMANITARIAN | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Kyiv, Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia, Eastern and Central Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: Urban housing stock, Electricity and transport networks, Medical facilities
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/11136.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

In the next 24 hours, further Russian missile and drone strikes are likely to cause additional civilian casualties and damage to residential and critical infrastructure in Kyiv and at least one other Ukrainian city such as Dnipro or Zaporizhzhia. Air defense intercepts will limit the worst outcomes, but debris will continue to hit populated areas. Emergency services will remain stretched, and ad hoc sheltering will increase, especially in Kyiv. International humanitarian organizations will issue new condemnations but will face access constraints to front‑line regions.

## Drivers

- Reports that recent Kyiv attack was the most powerful in two years
- Confirmed explosions in Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia from Kh-59/69 strikes
- Trend of systematic deep strikes against Ukrainian urban centers