# [24H] Rapid Expansion of Israeli Airstrikes Across Lebanon Including Beirut Periphery

*Issued Tuesday, May 26, 2026 at 5:09 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-26T05:09:18.632Z (6h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-27T05:09:18.632Z (19h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 75% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Northern Israel, Southern Lebanon, Beirut and southern suburbs (Dahiyeh), Bekaa Valley
**Affected Assets**: IAF strike aircraft and UAVs, Hezbollah rocket and drone stockpiles, Lebanese dual-use infrastructure (roads, power nodes, comms), Israeli civilian communities in Galilee
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/11103.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Israeli air operations will likely escalate within 24 hours to sustained strike packages across Lebanon, extending from the traditional southern belt into the greater Beirut area and Bekaa Valley. Target sets will focus on Hezbollah drone launch sites, weapons depots, and command nodes, alongside psychological-impact strikes on high-visibility infrastructure used by Hezbollah. Hezbollah will respond with additional drone and rocket salvos against northern Israel, including more accurate FPV attacks on IDF positions and potentially civilian areas. Ground incursions remain unlikely in the immediate 24-hour window but border skirmishes and localized infiltrations could rise.

## Drivers

- Netanyahu and IDF statements announcing intensified strikes 'across Lebanon' after major Hezbollah drone barrage
- Closure of schools in northern Israel, signaling expectation of increased incoming fire
- Sustained trend of drone-centric warfare on the Israel–Hezbollah front
- Historically rapid IAF scaling from limited to theater-wide air campaigns once political authorization is given