# [24H] Civilian Casualties and Infrastructure Damage Increase in Kyiv from Systematic Strike Campaign

*Issued Monday, May 25, 2026 at 5:09 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-25T17:09:14.265Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-26T17:09:14.265Z (20h from now)
**Category**: HUMANITARIAN | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Kyiv City, Surrounding Kyiv Oblast
**Affected Assets**: Urban housing stock, Health and emergency-response infrastructure, Power distribution in Kyiv
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/11055.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

In the coming 24 hours, Kyiv is likely to experience additional civilian casualties, residential damage, and disruptions to public services as Russia expands its strike pattern. Even if Russia nominally targets 'military and decision-making centers,' previous salvos have hit civilian houses and apartments, indicating high risk of spillover. Hospitals and emergency services will come under further strain, and intermittent power or heating disruptions are possible if energy or grid assets are struck. Humanitarian organizations will likely issue new alerts and adjust shelter and evacuation support.

## Drivers

- Recent Patriot malfunction hitting a residential house in Kyiv
- Fresh Russian declarations of systematic strikes on Kyiv facilities
- Trend toward weaponizing energy and logistics chokepoints in the air war