# [24H] Safe-Haven Assets See Mild Bid on Kyiv Strike Threats and Lebanon Escalation

*Issued Monday, May 25, 2026 at 5:09 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-25T17:09:14.265Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-26T17:09:14.265Z (22h from now)
**Category**: ECONOMIC | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: MEDIUM
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Global financial centers, Europe, Middle East
**Affected Assets**: Gold, U.S. Treasuries, Swiss franc, European bank and insurance equities
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/11054.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

The next 24 hours are likely to see moderate inflows into safe-haven assets such as gold, U.S. Treasuries, and the Swiss franc as investors react to Russia’s promised systematic strikes on Kyiv and intensifying Israel–Hezbollah exchanges. While Iran talks cap some of the upside in energy-linked risk aversion, dual-theater escalation will maintain geopolitical anxiety. Equity indices with high exposure to European or Middle Eastern risk may lag broader benchmarks. Moves are likely to be noticeable but not crisis-level absent a mass-casualty or embassy-hit event.

## Drivers

- Russia’s explicit threats to destroy Kyiv decision-making centers and urge foreigners to leave
- Active Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah drone attacks
- Market pattern of higher risk premia in oil and safe-havens flagged in feeds