# [24H] Russia Conducts Additional Large-Scale Missile and Drone Strikes on Kyiv Area

*Issued Monday, May 25, 2026 at 5:09 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-25T17:09:14.265Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-26T17:09:14.265Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, Northern and central Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: Ukrainian defense-industrial facilities, Electric grid nodes in and around Kyiv, Ukraine sovereign risk, Regional aviation and insurance risk premia
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/11048.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within the next 24 hours, Russia is likely to launch at least one further large-scale wave of missile and drone strikes against Kyiv and surrounding oblasts, focusing on defense-industrial and command infrastructure. Public warnings to foreigners to leave Kyiv and explicit talk of 'systematic' strikes and destroying the city indicate intent to sustain pressure rather than a one-off salvo. Target sets will likely include military-industrial plants, power nodes supporting them, and selected government facilities. Collateral damage to civilian housing and public infrastructure is highly probable given urban density and prior strike patterns.

## Drivers

- Multiple official Russian statements announcing start of 'systematic strikes' on Kyiv and urging evacuations
- Recent pattern of Russian retaliation after Ukrainian strikes on Starobilsk and Russian energy assets
- Ongoing Russia–Ukraine deep-strike duel trend