# [7D] Sustained Ukrainian Deep-Strike Campaign Against Russian Energy and Logistics Nodes

*Issued Monday, May 25, 2026 at 5:08 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-25T05:08:57.153Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-06-01T05:08:57.153Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 72% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Belgorod, Kursk, Bryansk, Yaroslavl and neighboring industrial regions
**Affected Assets**: Russian power plants and substations, Refining and storage facilities, Rail and road logistics networks in western Russia
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/11002.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 7 days, Ukraine is likely to sustain or escalate its pattern of deep strikes against Russian energy and logistics infrastructure, including power stations, refineries, and rail hubs within several hundred kilometers of the border. UAVs, cruise missiles, and HIMARS-type systems will be employed to maximize psychological and economic pressure on Russia’s rear areas and to retaliate for Russian attacks on Ukraine’s grid. Russia will respond by further hardening air defenses and potentially widening retaliatory targeting of Ukrainian infrastructure.

## Drivers

- Emerging trend: Ukraine expands deep-strike economic warfare into Russia’s energy and logistics heartland
- Recent strikes on Belgorod energy sites and near Yaroslavl refinery
- Ukraine’s institutionalization of mass UAV warfare to offset fires and manpower gaps