# [24H] Rising Civilian Casualties and Infrastructure Damage in Kyiv from Follow-On Russian Strikes

*Issued Monday, May 25, 2026 at 5:08 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-25T05:08:57.153Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-26T05:08:57.153Z (20h from now)
**Category**: HUMANITARIAN | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Kyiv, Surrounding oblasts hosting IDPs
**Affected Assets**: Urban housing stock, Hospitals and emergency response infrastructure, Electricity and water utilities in Kyiv
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/11000.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

In the next 24 hours, Kyiv is likely to experience additional civilian casualties, localized blackouts, and infrastructure disruptions as Russia continues its deep-strike campaign against dual-use targets. Emergency services will be stretched by damage across multiple districts, impacting hospitals, transit, and water systems. Shelter usage and population stress will increase, especially in neighborhoods already hit in the latest barrage.

## Drivers

- Recent major missile and drone attack causing fatalities and injuries across all Kyiv districts
- Trend: Russia transitions to terror-resilient deep strike campaign on Kyiv’s dual-use urban-industrial network
- Trend: Russia escalates strategic strikes to cripple Ukraine’s energy and fuel systems