# [7D] Russia Expands Strategic Strike Campaign Against Ukrainian Energy and Urban Dual-Use Targets

*Issued Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-24T23:09:16.531Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-31T23:09:16.531Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Ukraine (multiple oblasts), Western Russia, Black Sea region
**Affected Assets**: Power grids and refineries in Ukraine and Russia, Rail and road logistics corridors, NATO air defense stockpiles and production lines
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/10971.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 7 days, Russia is likely to broaden its deep-strike campaign beyond Kyiv to systematically degrade Ukrainian power plants, fuel depots, and transport nodes in multiple regions, standardizing the use of Oreshnik or similar advanced systems as part of its strike mix. Ukraine will respond with intensified UAV attacks against Russian energy and logistics facilities, particularly in border regions and key refinery hubs, extending its deep-strike economic warfare. This reciprocal escalation will increase damage to both countries’ civilian infrastructure and amplify pressure on Western air defense resupply.

## Drivers

- Emerging trends: Russia escalating strikes to cripple Ukraine’s energy and fuel systems
- Ukraine expanding deep-strike economic warfare into Russia’s energy and logistics heartland
- Recent Oreshnik use demonstrating capability and intent
- Western munitions strain limiting Ukraine’s alternative options