# [24H] Short-Term Risk-On Flows into Gold Amid Iran Nuclear Uncertainty and Kyiv Strikes

*Issued Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 11:09 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-24T11:09:34.932Z (6h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-25T11:09:34.932Z (18h from now)
**Category**: ECONOMIC | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: MEDIUM
**Risk Direction**: volatile
**Affected Regions**: Global financial markets
**Affected Assets**: Gold, Safe-haven currencies (USD, CHF, JPY indirectly), Select sovereign bonds as risk-off hedges
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/10905.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

In the next 24 hours, gold prices are likely to find support or edge higher as investors hedge against simultaneous geopolitical shocks: heavy strikes on Kyiv and unresolved US–Iran nuclear and sanctions issues. Conflicting reports about the Hormuz MoU’s scope and Iran’s refusal to transfer HEU maintain tail risks of future escalation and sanctions volatility. Additionally, the attack on Kyiv’s civilian core and risk to foreign diplomats will reinforce safe-haven demand narratives. A counter-scenario would be a clear de-escalation statement from both Washington and Tehran that markets interpret as durable, temporarily reducing gold’s bid.

## Drivers

- Warnings: 'Iran-US MoU Snag Keeps Nuclear, Sanctions Risk Elevated'
- Reports of ship seizures and mixed messaging on Hormuz de-escalation
- Large Russian missile strike on Kyiv including rare IRBM and hypersonic systems
- Historical pattern of gold responding positively to compounded geopolitical crises