# [24H] Arab States and Israel Issue Cautious Supportive Statements on Iran Deal Framework

*Issued Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-23T23:10:11.186Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-24T23:10:11.186Z (21h from now)
**Category**: GEOPOLITICAL | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: de-escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Egypt, Jordan, Israel
**Affected Assets**: Regional diplomatic alignments, Abraham Accords and associated forums, OPEC+ policy coordination
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/10838.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

---

## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Egypt are likely to issue cautiously supportive statements welcoming de‑escalation and reopening of Hormuz while highlighting the need for robust enforcement and further negotiations on nuclear and missile issues. Israel’s government will react more skeptically, likely emphasizing continued threats from Iran and Hezbollah and reserving freedom of action, but will avoid outright torpedoing the deal in public. These statements will be calibrated to reassure domestic audiences while signaling alignment with Washington. Some smaller regional actors may hedge or stay relatively silent pending more detail.

## Drivers

- Reports of 'very positive' calls between Trump and multiple Arab leaders plus Netanyahu
- Arab states’ strong interest in stabilizing oil flows and avoiding regional war
- Textual emphasis that the Hormuz deal is tripartite with 'regional partners'
- Trend of Middle Eastern states leveraging diplomacy around Palestine and regional stability