# [7D] Ukraine Expands Deep-Strike Campaign to Additional Russian Logistics Nodes and Port Facilities

*Issued Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 11:09 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-23T11:09:45.832Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-30T11:09:45.832Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Southern Russia, Black Sea region, Central/Volga industrial regions, Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: Russian oil and product export capacity, Ammonia and urea production, Rail and fuel logistics, Insurance for Black Sea and Russian port operations
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/10774.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next seven days, Ukraine is likely to broaden its UAV and possibly missile strikes to additional Russian depots, rail hubs, and energy or chemical facilities beyond Metafrax, Polazna, and Novorossiysk, aiming to incrementally disrupt Russia’s war economy. Targets may include other Black Sea and Azov ports, fuel storage near major bases, and selected industrial plants involved in defense production or fertilizers. Russia will respond with intensified air defense deployments, counter-UAV measures, and further attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure, especially energy and rail. The cumulative effect will be rising operational costs and uncertainty for Russian logistics without immediately decisive strategic outcomes.

## Drivers

- Sustained emerging trend of Ukrainian deep-strike drone campaign
- Recent high-impact attacks on energy and chemical assets in Perm Krai and Novorossiysk
- EUCOM assessment indicating highly kinetic environment and narrative warfare over targeting
- Cost-effectiveness and strategic payoff for Ukraine of targeting Russia’s rear economy