# [24H] Turkey Signals Continued Monetary and Reserve Policy Strain Without New Open Break With U.S.

*Issued Friday, May 22, 2026 at 5:09 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-22T05:09:18.532Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-23T05:09:18.532Z (21h from now)
**Category**: GEOPOLITICAL | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: MEDIUM
**Risk Direction**: volatile
**Affected Regions**: Turkey, United States, Euro-Atlantic financial system
**Affected Assets**: U.S. Treasuries, Turkish lira, EM sovereign bonds
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/10605.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

In the next 24 hours, Turkish authorities are likely to defend their recent large-scale sale of U.S. Treasuries as a domestic stabilization measure while avoiding overt anti-U.S. rhetoric that could imply a deliberate strategic decoupling. Messaging will center on lira protection and macroprudential management rather than geopolitical defiance. U.S.-Turkey relations will remain strained but stable, with any new friction appearing more in commentary than policy moves. A contrarian path would be Ankara tying the Treasury sell-off explicitly to political grievances with Washington, which would raise de-dollarization concerns.

## Drivers

- Turkey's reduction of U.S. Treasury holdings from $16B to $1.8B
- Emerging trend: Saudi and Turkish financial moves signaling broader de-dollarization and strategic hedging
- Ongoing domestic economic pressures in Turkey