# [24H] Ukraine conducts further deep-strike attacks on Russian logistics and command nodes

*Issued Monday, May 18, 2026 at 7:35 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-18T19:35:04.872Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-19T19:35:04.872Z (20h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Eastern Ukraine front, Crimea, Southern Slobozhanshchyna, Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts, Bryansk and other Russian border regions, Caspian and Black Sea maritime zones
**Affected Assets**: Russian ammunition and fuel depots, Rail logistics and fuel trains, Russian air defense systems (e.g., Tor-M2), Russian naval vessels in the Caspian and Black Sea, Ukrainian long-range strike munitions and UAVs
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/10158.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, Ukraine is likely to continue a high tempo of deep-strike operations against Russian logistics hubs, fuel infrastructure, and command posts in occupied territories and select Russian border regions. Recent strikes on Crimea communications nodes, fuel trains, Tor-M2 systems, and UAV control points reflect a campaign to degrade Russian offensive capacity. The fielding of an indigenous guided glide bomb will likely be integrated experimentally into these operations to extend range and precision. Russia will respond with further missile and drone attacks, but the initiative will remain with Ukraine on long-range precision targeting.

## Drivers

- Emerging trend of mutually intensifying long-range strike campaigns
- Recent multi-target Ukrainian strike package across Crimea, Donetsk, Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Bryansk and Dagestan
- Announcement that Ukraine’s domestic glide bomb is combat-ready
- Sustained pattern of Ukrainian depth strikes on logistics and air defenses
