# [24H] Continued Russian Missile and Drone Strikes on Dnipro and Southern Ukraine

*Issued Monday, May 18, 2026 at 7:07 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-18T07:07:15.957Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-19T07:07:15.957Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Dnipro region, Kryvyi Rih, Odesa region, Central and southern Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: European natural gas TTF, EUR, Ukrainian sovereign and corporate debt, European defense equities
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/10068.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

---

## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, Russia is likely to continue high-intensity missile and Shahed/Geran-2 drone strikes against Dnipro and at least one additional urban/industrial target in central or southern Ukraine (likely Odesa or Kryvyi Rih). The recent back-to-back mass barrages indicate a focused campaign against Ukrainian defense-industrial assets and urban infrastructure rather than a one-off strike. Ukraine’s air defenses will intercept a majority of drones but will be partially saturated, leading to additional infrastructure and possible civilian damage. This will further deplete Ukrainian air-defense munitions and pressure European capitals for more air-defense transfers.

## Drivers

- Multiple consecutive nights of mass Russian drone and missile strikes on Dnipro and Kryvyi Rih
- Reports of focus on defence-industrial facilities and urban hubs
- Trend of mutually intensifying long-range strike campaigns in the Russia–Ukraine war