# Polish Foreign Minister Warns Russia May Plan ‘Something Big’ as Pretext for Mobilization

*Friday, September 25, 2026 at 12:05 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Published**: 2026-09-25T12:05:57.004Z (1h ago)
**Category**: geopolitics | **Region**: Eastern Europe
**Importance**: 8/10
**Sources**: OSINT
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/articles/18797.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/summaries

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**Deck**: Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski says partner intelligence indicates Russia is preparing “something big” this year to create a pretext for mobilization, and points to a growing number and variety of Russian attacks against NATO countries.

Poland has sounded a fresh alarm over Russia’s intentions, with its foreign minister warning that Moscow may be preparing a major incident to justify a broader mobilization.

Radosław Sikorski said Poland has received intelligence from partners suggesting Russia is getting ready to stage “something big” this year that could serve as a pretext to call up more forces. He did not specify what kind of event this might be.

Sikorski linked the warning to what he described as an increasing number and variety of Russian attacks directed at NATO countries. Those incidents, in his telling, form part of a wider pattern of pressure and risk-taking along the alliance’s eastern flank.

For Poland, which borders both the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad and Belarus, the possibility that Russia might manufacture a crisis to unlock further mobilization is a direct security concern. It raises the prospect of sudden escalations, whether through military, cyber or other actions, that could ripple across the region.

Within NATO, such statements are also a signal that frontline states want allies to treat low-level attacks and provocations as potential elements of a larger strategy rather than as isolated episodes.

What happens next will depend on whether there are observable changes in Russian military posture and activity, and on how NATO countries adjust their own readiness in response to Poland’s warning.