# [WARNING] Iran Threatens Strikes on US Bases in Europe, Widens Deterrent Against Future Attacks

*Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 3:10 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Detected**: 2026-11-11T15:10:17.164Z (52m ago)
**Tags**: Iran, United States, Europe, NATO, Missiles, Energy, Oil, Security
**Sources**: OSINT
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/alerts/30006.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/summaries

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**Summary**: Around 14:28–14:40 UTC, Iran’s National Security Council chief Mohsen Rezaei warned that Tehran would hit US military bases in Europe and any territory from which US aircraft launch attacks on Iran, including islands “they think our missiles cannot reach.” The threat broadens Iran’s declared target set beyond the Middle East, raising miscalculation risk for NATO governments hosting US forces and for energy and shipping markets already rattled by attacks around Hormuz and Qatar.

## Detail

Iran’s security leadership has publicly expanded its declared target set in the event of new US strikes, explicitly warning that US military bases in Europe and any territory facilitating an attack on Iran would be treated as legitimate targets. The statements, delivered around 14:28–14:40 UTC by Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, move Iran’s deterrent posture from regional to trans‑regional, directly implicating NATO territory and US basing partners.

According to multiple contemporaneous reports, Rezaei said that if the United States “does something foolish and attacks” Iran, Tehran would not stop at nearby facilities but would strike “all the distant American bases,” naming Europe and other locations where US forces are stationed. He added that Iran may target “some islands they think our missiles cannot reach,” and advised all countries hosting US bases not to cooperate with any US strike, warning that any location from which American aircraft take off would be considered a threat. These comments are on the record, attributed to one of Iran’s most senior security figures, and appear calibrated as public deterrence rather than an imminent attack notice; no mobilization or launch activity is reported at this time.

For governments and populations in Europe, the Gulf and other US basing hubs, the human stakes are clear: civilian communities co‑located with US facilities are being explicitly named as potential battlefields in a prospective Iran–US clash. Host governments now face a sharper dilemma between alliance obligations and the risk of becoming direct targets. Airline routing, port operations and local industries clustered near bases in Italy, Germany, the UK, Spain, Turkey, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait and elsewhere would be directly exposed should deterrence fail.

Militarily, the signal suggests Iran is confident enough in the range and precision of its missile and drone arsenal to threaten beyond its region. That aligns with recent Iranian long‑range strike demonstrations and stated capability to hit targets up to and beyond 2,000 km. The explicit inclusion of unnamed ‘islands’ extends concern to key US and allied facilities such as Diego Garcia and Mediterranean island bases. This widens the prospective battlespace in any renewed confrontation, complicating US and NATO planning and raising the premium on missile defense, hardening and dispersal.

For markets, the rhetoric intensifies an already stressed risk environment. The threat against any state enabling US sorties could chill overflight permissions and basing support in Europe and the Gulf, injecting uncertainty into US force posture and crisis response timelines. Energy traders will factor in a higher probability of Iranian attempts to deter or punish host nations through attacks on critical infrastructure or shipping lanes beyond the Strait of Hormuz, especially if future US strikes originate from European soil or Gulf hubs. This points to upward pressure on crude and products, higher implied volatility in oil and gas, a bid for gold as a geopolitical hedge, and potential spread widening for sovereign debt of highly exposed host countries. Defense equities tied to missile defense and base protection are likely to benefit from expected demand.

In the next 24–48 hours, watch for: (1) public reactions from NATO capitals and Gulf monarchies hosting US forces—whether they reaffirm basing commitments, seek assurances, or quietly signal constraints on offensive use of their territory; (2) any visible Iranian military movements, missile deployments, or unusual activity near suspected launch sites; (3) US messaging—deterrent deployments or explicit red lines that could either stabilize or further escalate the standoff; and (4) shifts in tanker insurance, shipping routes, and crude futures curves as traders recalibrate the probability of a broader Iran–US confrontation that reaches beyond the Middle East.

**MARKET IMPACT ASSESSMENT:**
Heightens geopolitical risk premia: supportive for oil, gas, gold and defense equities; mildly negative for risk assets and currencies of host nations with major US bases in Europe and the Gulf. Increases tail-risk pricing for Iran–US conflict scenarios affecting shipping and energy infrastructure.