# [WARNING] Iran, IRGC Claim New Strikes On Kuwait, Oman US Sites

*Monday, July 13, 2026 at 5:35 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Detected**: 2026-07-13T05:35:19.196Z (2h ago)
**Tags**: MARKET, ENERGY, Gulf, Iran, Middle East, riskPremium
**Sources**: OSINT
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/alerts/14232.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/summaries

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**Summary**: Iran and the IRGC claim new drone and missile attacks on U.S. air defense and fuel infrastructure at Kuwaiti bases and a maritime radar site in Oman. While direct damage to Gulf energy assets is unconfirmed, this sustains elevated risk premium around Gulf energy infrastructure and regional shipping.

## Detail

1) What happened:
New statements from the IRGC and Iranian Army claim fresh retaliatory attacks on U.S.-linked infrastructure in Kuwait, Bahrain, and Oman. Claimed targets include fuel tanks and a Patriot system at Ali Al Salem Air Base, a long‑range radar at Ahmad Al‑Jaber, and U.S. facilities in Bahrain. Separately, the IRGC says it again targeted a U.S. maritime surveillance radar in Oman for the second consecutive day. Local confirmation of impacts in Kuwait is lacking, but Jordan has acknowledged only partial interception of Iranian missiles aimed at Prince Hassan Airbase, underscoring that some Iranian strikes are getting through.

2) Supply/demand impact:
The events do not yet confirm physical damage to oil production, export terminals, or main shipping lanes. However, repeated Iranian strikes across the northern Gulf (Kuwait, Bahrain) and Oman meaningfully raise the probability of miscalculation affecting key infrastructure in or near the Strait of Hormuz and the broader Gulf energy belt. Markets will price a higher probability tail risk of disruptions to crude and product flows from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, Qatar, and the UAE. In addition, repeated attacks on maritime surveillance assets could marginally degrade situational awareness and embolden further drone or missile activity near shipping routes.

3) Affected assets and direction:
Brent and WTI crude will incorporate an additional geopolitical risk premium, skewing prices higher versus prior expectations even without a confirmed supply outage. Front‑month time spreads may firm on perceived outage risk. LNG risk premia out of Qatar/Oman could widen, benefiting European and Asian gas benchmarks. Gold and the broad safe‑haven complex (USD vs EMFX, JPY to an extent) may see support. Regional equities in the Gulf could trade softer on conflict‑risk fears.

4) Historical precedent:
Episodes such as the 2019 Abqaiq–Khurais attack and earlier tanker sabotage in the Gulf produced multi‑percent moves in crude on risk premium alone, despite relatively rapid restoration of capacity.

5) Duration:
As long as Iranian forces continue to directly target U.S. or allied facilities in the Gulf area, an elevated but primarily risk‑premium‑driven impact is likely to persist. Without direct hits on core oil/LNG assets, the effect is more cyclical than structural but can remain in place for weeks to months depending on escalation.

**AFFECTED ASSETS:** Brent Crude, WTI Crude, Qatar LNG term differentials, TTF natural gas, JKM LNG, Gold, Gulf sovereign CDS, Kuwaiti dinar, Bahrain sovereign debt