# [FLASH] Reports: Iran Fires Ballistic Missiles Toward Jordan and Bahrain Airbase Targets

*Monday, July 13, 2026 at 2:15 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Detected**: 2026-07-13T02:15:34.425Z (3h ago)
**Tags**: Iran, Jordan, Bahrain, Missiles, UnitedStates, MiddleEast, Energy, Military
**Sources**: OSINT
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/alerts/14211.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/summaries

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**Summary**: Open-source feeds from 01:05–02:03 UTC report repeated ballistic missile launches from western Iran toward Jordan and Bahrain, with the Muwaffaq Salti airbase in Jordan cited as a target. Direct Iranian strikes on states hosting US and allied forces raise the risk of rapid U.S. and Gulf retaliation, with implications for energy security, airspace safety, and regional war risk pricing.

## Detail

Open‑source channels are tracking what appears to be an ongoing Iranian ballistic missile operation against targets in Jordan and Bahrain in the 01:05–02:03 UTC window, sharply raising the stakes in the confrontation between Tehran and US‑aligned states.

According to multiple near‑real‑time reports, at least two ballistic missiles were fired from the Khomeyn area in western Iran at approximately 01:05–01:07 UTC, with follow‑on launches described as “repeated ballistic missile launches” from the same area by 01:14 UTC. By 01:11 UTC, at least six missiles were reported outbound from Iran toward Jordan, and separate reporting at 01:06 UTC stated that the trajectories were “seemingly flying to Jordan.” A subsequent update at 01:17 UTC specified that the missiles were reportedly targeting the Muwaffaq Salti airbase in Jordan — a key hub for US and allied air operations. By 02:03 UTC, another report stated that at least four ballistic missiles had also been launched from Iran toward Bahrain.

These accounts are OSINT and not yet corroborated by official military statements or satellite confirmation, but they are consistent in timing, launch area (Khomeyn, western Iran), and claimed direction of travel (Jordan and Bahrain). There is, as of 02:05 UTC, no confirmed battle damage assessment or casualty count, and no clear indication of how many missiles may have been intercepted.

If confirmed, direct Iranian ballistic missile strikes on Jordanian and Bahraini territory, especially against an airbase housing US and coalition aircraft, mark a decisive escalation from proxy and deniable activity to overt state‑on‑state fire. Civilians in downrange areas, including communities near Muwaffaq Salti and potentially populated zones in Bahrain, are exposed to debris, misfires, and interception fallout. Regional aviation and shipping operators face immediate airspace and route‑planning risk, with potential diversions over and around western Iraq, Jordan, the Gulf, and parts of Saudi Arabia.

Militarily, an attack on Muwaffaq Salti targets the command, ISR, and strike infrastructure that underpins Western operations in the Levant. Any successful hit on runways, hardened shelters, or fuel and munitions depots would constrain sortie generation and could trigger rapid U.S. and allied counter‑strikes against Iranian missile batteries, command nodes, or IRGC assets. Bahrain’s exposure is more than symbolic: it hosts the U.S. Fifth Fleet, and incoming Iranian missiles toward its territory force USN and GCC planners to treat the northern Gulf and Strait of Hormuz approaches as an active missile theater.

For markets, even the perception of an Iranian salvo on US‑linked bases in Jordan and near Bahrain increases the probability of a broader U.S.–Iran exchange that could threaten Iran’s own export terminals, Gulf shipping lanes, and insurance for tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz. Expect a bid into Brent and WTI as traders price higher disruption risk premia, firmer gold and JPY/CHF as classic safety trades, and pressure on GCC and wider EM risk assets. Credit spreads on Gulf sovereigns and corporates tied to energy, aviation, and tourism are vulnerable if this escalates into a multi‑night campaign.

Key things to watch in the next 24–48 hours: (1) Official confirmation or denial from Jordan, Bahrain, the US, and Iran, including any acknowledgment of impacts or interceptions; (2) Evidence of follow‑on launches or expansion to target sets in the Gulf (naval facilities, energy infrastructure); (3) U.S. and allied military posture shifts — surge of air assets, naval repositioning in the Gulf, or public red lines; (4) Notices to Air Missions (NOTAMs) and maritime advisories indicating new no‑fly/no‑sail zones; and (5) immediate price action in crude, shipping insurance rates, and Gulf FX as traders handicap whether this stays a limited exchange or becomes a sustained regional missile confrontation.

**MARKET IMPACT ASSESSMENT:**
Immediate upside pressure on crude benchmarks (Brent/WTI) and regional risk premiums, with likely bid into gold and safe havens (USD, CHF) and downside for regional equities and airline/shipping names if escalation continues. Options vol on energy and Gulf sovereigns likely to spike.
